European endgame

Europe came out with a shock and awe package of Euro 750 billion for the markets over the weekend. The markets heaved a sigh of relief and markets around the world rallied on Monday.

However, the problem is one of solvency not liquidity. Market participants are equating this to the TARP bailout program put together by the US government in 2008. The reality cannot be more different. More...

Complacency

I can see a sense of complacency setting into the markets. Anyone who expresses a negative view is derided as unpatriotic or chicken. The general view is that the worst that could've happened has already happened and that from here things only get better.

Selling today and keeping cash is not fighting the previous war. Clearly investors should've kept cash in 2008. But investors should keep cash today as well. More...