There is a growing consensus that believes the Euro is doomed. And everybody now knows all the Central Banks of the world are money printers. We couple these two notions and we get the popular short Euro/long Gold trade. It seems a no-brainer and I am of the camp that this trade will work in the [...]
Students of financial history will note that gold stocks performed very well in the previous pan-global credit contraction (a.k.a the 1930s). While we think gold stocks will perform similarly well this time around, what makes the current Credit Crisis unique is 1) today we are on a floating exchange rate system (in the 1930s the [...]
Everybody knows the US Government will never be able to pay off its debts in today’s money. It is for this reason, short US Bonds is a favorite trade. The thinking is either Washington will print its way out and so interest rates must rise to compensate lenders for inflation or the Government will default [...]
Between those that fear massive inflation in the not too distant future to those that think the worst is behind us, cash is trash once again. As traders we buy what is cheap with the notion to sell it when it becomes dear and vice versa. Seeing the Fed and US Treasury’s response to the [...]
On Dec 31, the markets sold off hard in the last hour of trading and the bears smelled blood. This market seems to love keeping everyone guessing, and on Jan 4, first day of trading in the New Year, risk assets
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